We combine deep qualitative analysis by our team of investment specialists with powerful quantitative analysis from our proprietary software to inform an unconstrained approach for strong, risk-adjusted returns.
From a macroeconomic perspective:
• The US: Continued growth
US real GDP growth continues to be strong with 3.2 per cent q/q preliminary estimate for the third quarter– the fastest pace in three years – and similar healthy trend in Q4. Economic activity has accelerated driven by private consumption and a significant contribution from stock building.
• The UK: Mixed signals
UK Q3 real GDP growth came in a notch higher at 0.4 per cent q/q, up from the 0.3 per cent reached in the previous two quarters. On a sectoral level, GDP growth was boosted by the services sector, followed by a strong contribution from industrial production, while construction output contracted for a second quarter running. Despite the acceleration in economic activity, UK GDP continues to grow below the pre and post-crisis averages and slower than in other G7 countries.
• The euro area: Germany and Italy leading the way
The euro area economy has stepped up a gear in its cyclical recovery in Q3, supported by a significant acceleration in German and Italian economic activity. With the strong Q1-Q3 growth prints, we see no obstacles in the way for the euro area’s activity to breach the 2 per cent annual growth for the past year.